EUR/USD pierde su impulso de recuperación, cae a 1.1350

Tras una caída a un mínimo diario de 1.1345 durante las horas de negociación europeas, el par EUR/USD experimentó un rebote en los inicios de la sesión, pero perdió su impulso antes de alcanzar el nivel 1.14. En este momento, el par opera en 1.1357, perdiendo un 0.13% en el día.

El día de hoy, los datos publicados por Eurostat mostraron que el crecimiento del PIB en la zona del euro en la primera estimación cayó trimestralmente al 0.2% en el tercer trimestre, desde el 0.4% registrado en el segundo trimestre y decepcionó la estimación de los analistas del 0.4% mientras arrastra la tasa anualizada a 1.7% desde 2.2%. Además, el crecimiento del PIB en el tercer trimestre de Italia llegó al 0% y causó que los rendimientos de los italiano – alemanes se ampliaran para poner peso adicional en los hombros del euro.

Al comentar sobre los datos, “el estancamiento real en Italia, el PIB del tercer trimestre en 0%, refuerza la insistencia de 5 estrellas/Liga en un déficit presupuestario del 2.4% para sacar a Italia de una recesión incipiente. ¿Cómo jugará la demanda de la UE con el electorado italiano?” dijo el analista senior de FXStreet, Joseph Trevisani.

Por otro lado, el índice de confianza del consumidor del Conference Board continuó aumentando en octubre, lo que sugiere un fuerte sentimiento del consumidor en los Estados Unidos. El índice de expectativas registró otra ganancia en octubre, lo que sugiere que los consumidores no prevén que la economía pierda fuerza en el corto plazo. Espera que el fuerte ritmo de crecimiento se prolongue hasta principios de 2019″, señaló Lynn Franco, Directora de Indicadores Económicos de The Conference Board.

El Índice del Dólar de Estados Unidos, que perdió su tracción antes de probar el nivel 97 en los inicios del día, cayó a 96.70 antes de acumular un impulso alcista en las últimas horas. En este momento, el índice subió un 0.25% en el día a 96.92.

El miércoles, el Eurostat está programado para publicar su informe preliminar de inflación. Los mercados esperan que el IPC subyacente anual alcance el 1% en octubre y que una cifra decepcionante del IPC afecte al euro y obligue al par a probar el nivel 1.13 – mínimo de 2018.

Niveles técnicos

El soporte inicial para el par se alinea en 1.1335 (mínimo del 26 de octubre) antes de 1.1300 (mínimo del 15 de agosto) y 1.1235 (mínimo del 5 de junio de 2017). En el lado positivo, las resistencias se alinean en 1.1415 (máximo del 29 de octubre), 1.1480 (DMA de 20) y 1.1550 (máximo del 22 de octubre).


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