El movimiento de capitales

Esta semana la cual cierra noviembre y da paso al inicio del último mes del año, donde prácticamente sólo la primera quincena es laborable porque los días siguientes presentan una desaceleración en las actividades hasta en un 60%; los capitales muestran un interesante movimiento por ajustes en el mercado internacional. El Peso mexicano, una de las monedas de mayor flujo, no así de mayor valor, tendrá una semana difícil; las cotizaciones serán altas, su precio de soporte se finca en 20.30 Pesos por Dólar, y el nivel de resistencia fluctúa en los 20.90, debido al alza de la Tasa de la Reserva Federal en los Estados Unidos, y la posibilidad del anuncio de la nueva administración sobre una política expansionista. En contraste, presentan una mejor resistencia a los movimientos estratégicos estadounidenses el Peso uruguayo que tiene una base de cotización de 29.04 por Dólar americano, el Peso argentino que ha mantenido su promedio de 15.60, e incluso el vapuleado Real brasileño que se cotiza en 3.40 por Dólar. Sin embargo, estos datos sólo amparan la perspicacia para estos días porque el próximo viernes, 2 de diciembre, la Unión Americana anunciará sus datos económicos, como el referente a la nómina no agrícola, y la expectativa a la alza de la creación de empleos; situación que a quien más afecta es a México, debido a su dependencia económica con su vecino del norte. La mala calidad de productos, la escasa visión de mercado, y la pésima estrategia económica de sus autoridades, hace que el valor de la moneda se dispare aumentando el nivel de pobreza económica de los mexicanos; sólo aquellos quienes tienen mejores oportunidades de negocio, no sólo invierten en los valores de la Bolsa, sino también en el Mercado de Divisas. Las afectaciones económicas en México han hecho que en tan sólo nueve meses los inversionistas acumulen salidas de capital por 23 193 millones de Dólares; este es un significativo contraste porque la inversión extranjera ingresó al país, en el periodo de enero a septiembre, 14 473 millones de Dólares. En México, sale más dinero del que entra. El flujo de capitales hacia México se ha frenado en un 23.21% en lo que va de 2016; apenas una cuarta parte de lo recibido en el año anterior. El motivo de este deterioro es la falta de confianza en sus autoridades y en la economía mexicana quien además verá incrementado su déficit al tener que pagar para 2017, 90 500 millones de pesos más, por costo de deuda; esto es que su deuda aumentará 18.9%, teniendo que destinar pagos totales para el próximo año de 568 200 millones de pesos, los cuales sus autoridades no transparentan. Estos parámetros de opacidad generan incertidumbre y desconfianza entre los inversionistas quienes prefieren la capitalización en el Mercado de Divisas, pues, con ello aseguran que la depreciación del valor de su dinero puede sostenerse con el porcentaje de ganancia. Los Traders de los países emergentes y de las economías más endebles pueden recurrir a las plataformas que ofrecen los distintos Bróker. Los nuevos tiempos de ajuste económico requieren de nuevas estrategias de capitalización. Con Fórex, siempre existe la posibilidad de mantenerse y obtener estupendos rendimientos.

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